Are You Ready For the Recruiting Nightmare Heading Our Way?

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According to a recent USA Today article, the U.S. birthrate is in sharp decline and is at it’s lowest levels in the past 25 years. Here’s probably a few facts you don’t know:

  • The projected 2013 birthrate in the U.S. is estimated to be 1.86;
  • The birthrate needed to maintain a population over a 20-year period is 2.1.

Why should this concern you?

There are a number of reasons. One might be that you need as many young people as old for the simple fact of having enough young people to take care of your older population. If you turn that equation upside down (like Taiwan at 1.1 or Portugal at 1.3) you have a society full of older people and not enough young people to fill the jobs needed to keep running your society.

A positive, family-friendly environment

The U.S. already has 3 million jobs left unfilled because of lack of skilled employees – today. Imagine if you now have millions less of workers to even choose from – and by the way, skilled workers aren’t coming from other countries because their societies are growing and they need them.

That is what our country’s employment picture will look like in 2032. I know for many people right now this sounds very good – because of our current high unemployment – but this will be a HR/Recruiting nightmare for those young HR/Talent Pros starting out their careers in the next 20 years.

Being the futurist that I am, I’ve already provided a solution to this problem back in 2011 over at Fistful of Talent — Should You Encourage Your Employees To Have Babies?  Check it out.

Basically, my advice remains the same: as U.S. employers, we need to create a positive, encouraging environment for our employees, with family-friendly policies that make our employees feel like starting a family is a good thing, and that if they do start a family, their job and ability to get a promotion won’t be compromised. This is not the case at many U.S. employers right now – for both men and women in the workforce.

Can we change our ways?

As HR Pros, we tend to think this isn’t our issue and that it will take care of itself. But as we look at countries with low birthrates, the issue doesn’t take care of itself and those countries have a worker crisis going on right now.

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We need to change our ways right now – we need to be family friendly employers – and we need to, as HR Pros, be concerned and find solutions for our employees around day care, flexible schedules, and other practices that will help our employees with families. I know it sounds a bit “the-sky-is-fallingish” but the numbers don’t lie; we are headed for some of the hardest hiring this country has ever seen.

One solution I’ve thought of, that I didn’t bring up in 2011, is baby sign-on bonuses! We do it for college students, and I think we start doing for babies of our best employees. I mean if parents can arrange their kids marriage, what stops us from arranging their first job? Nothing! That’s what.

Imagine how happy your employees would be to cash a $20,000 check to help with baby expenses for the simple task of forcing their kid to come to work with your company upon college graduation. It seems so simple, and I’m not quite sure why no one has started this yet!

This was originally published on Tim Sackett’s blog, The Tim Sackett Project.

Tim Sackett, MS, SPHR is executive vice president of HRU Technical Resources, a contingent staffing firm in Lansing, MI. Tim has 20 years of HR and talent background split evenly between corporate HR gigs among the Fortune 500 and the HR vendor community ? so he gets it from both sides of the desk. A frequent contributor to the talent blog Fistful of Talent, Tim also speaks at many HR conferences and events. Contact him here.


3 Comments on “Are You Ready For the Recruiting Nightmare Heading Our Way?

  1. This is a poorly researched article. In 2007, the US had it’s highest number of births in the country’s history. Births have fallen since as expected due to the economic situation and will recover as the economy improves. Immigration is also ignored. The US had net positive population growth due to immigration. Finally, 3 million jobs aren’t open due to a lack of skills. Over 4 million hires happen every month. New jobs open up due to turnover and job growth. 

  2. One of the main reasons so much jobs are hard to fill, is that companies want so many skill s it’s very difficult to have them all. Companies are very picky, and very few are willing to take a good candidate with let’s say over 50% of the skills, and train and develop the rest. For technical roles (STEM disciplines (Science Technology Engineering and Math) it’s very difficult. I work in the Computer discipline and see this time and time again.

    Also, companies simply want to get the newer generation, in many instances just to pay them less (fire the older, experienced, and hire younger, so they can pay them less.

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